Reality-BasedTM Political Numbers from Nicholas Beaudrot
Electoral Math
Reality-BasedTM Political Numbers from Nicholas Beaudrot
It's worth pointing out that Chris Gregoire's approval ratings don't quite tell the whole story of how she'd fare in a campaign. Right now, Gregoire earns disapproval from 19% of Democrats and 29% of Liberals (!). In an election, nearly all liberals and Democrats would end up voting for Gregoire. The only real cause for concern is Gregoire's net negative approval among independents. Her best bet to improve her standing there is to force a showdown with the Flat-Earth Society wing of the Republican party and win it.
Thanks to the comments on Ezra's further discussion on immigration, it's worth pointing out that there are better phrasings of the current immigration policy than "there is no line". Perhaps the better phrasing is that the xenophobes in the Republican party would like to punish nannies, construction workers, bus boys, et al., for cutting to the front of a line that they're not allowed to stand in.
I'm not a terribly good messenger for statements on the matter; someone really ought to get an immigration lawyer on TV to put an end to this particular charade.
Podcasting Liberally, in which I interject myfavorite story about former Sen. John Breaux (D-LA).
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updated by Nicholas Beaudrot on 04:37 29 March 2006
