Electoral Math
Reality-Based^TM Political Numbers from Nicholas Beaudrot

June 2006

Busbymania link
June 5

The final SurveyUSA poll on the Francine Busby-Brian Bilbray race looks fishy to me. Among the 7% of voters who describe themselves as Hispanic, Bilbray leads 53-45. In a race filled with immigrant bashing, that's almost certainly off the mark. Giving Busby a more realistic 65-35 lead among Hispanics moves the race from a small lead for the Elephant to one for the Donkey. Either way, at this point the race is at a standstill, with Bilbray and the NRCC hurling negative charges on immigrants and fabricating accusations out of whole cloth from her school board career, while Busby chants the word "lobbyist" as often as she possibly can.

We'll know how this all shakes out in just a few hours now.

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Goremania; Welcome to the '80s, England; link
June 2

I've just got some quick hits today.

• An Inconvenient Truth opens in California, Massachusetts, New York, Washington state, and other locales today. See it if you can.
• Dear England: Welcome to the 1980s. Video here.
• I'm sure the people of New York will be shocked to learn that their city has no national monuments.
• I am not the only one out there who thinks the idea of Mike Huckabee for President is palatable and possible. This guy with a small little website seems to think he's the real deal. As does Shadi Hamid at Democracy Arsenal.

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Big Media Nicholas link
June 1

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Last updated by Nicholas Beaudrot on 09:00 02 September 2006