Reality-BasedTM Political Numbers from Nicholas Beaudrot
Electoral Math
Reality-BasedTM Political Numbers from Nicholas Beaudrot
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After many trials and tribulations, here's a nice map of the Lieberman-Lamont race. In this map, white represents townships whose vote closely matched the 51.7-48.2 final tally. Purple represents areas where Lamont exceeded his overall vote totals; green is for Lieberman, similarly. This map is not scaled by population, so remember that most of the state resides in the Stamford-New Haven-Hartford corridor
Lamont's strongest performance was not in the affluent Southwest corner of the state, but in the Northwest towns of Canaan (popn 1081, median HH income $54,688), Salisbury (3977, $53,051), Sharon (2968, $53,000), Cornwall (1434, $54,886), and Warren (1254, $62,798). Recall that median household income in Connecticut is the highest in the country, at $56,409, so these are solidly middle-class towns. Lieberman Lamont also carried every township in Tolland and Middlesex counties—the second counties from the right in both the north and south half of the state (census.gov has a better map). Some of these towns, like Lyme and Ellington, are well off, but others like Ashford and Chaplin are certainly middle class. One might look at this map and think that the split among small middle class towns was between those that are in the near-orbit of major cities, where Lieberman fared best, and those that are distinct hamlets, where Lamont dominated.
Note that Lamont's weakest regions also happen to have major military-industrial employers; Sikorsky airfcraft in the lower Naugatuck valley in the Western part of the state, and the Coast Guard Academy in New London to the East. Isn't there also a submarine base or shipyard somewhere around there as well? Update: right, the Groton submarine base.
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updated by Nicholas Beaudrot on 08:43 20 August 2006
