Reality-BasedTM Political Numbers from Nicholas Beaudrot
Electoral Math
Reality-BasedTM Political Numbers from Nicholas Beaudrot
Blasphemy! | Home | Local News Roundup
The newest Democracy Corps poll dishes out some very good news. Currently, district maps heavily favor Republicans—there are many more House Democrats in districts Bush carried than there are House Republicans in districts that Kerry won. After the 2006 election, this situation got even worse. There was some real worry that Democrats would not have any elections where they could play offense, and that their majority couldn't grow any more.
However, polling shows that in "Tier 1" Republican-held districts, Democrats hold a tiny advantage. At the very least, these seventeen or so seats appear to be competitive, though obviously a lot can change in twelve months.
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updated by Nicholas Beaudrot on 11:56 19 June 2007
